……Shen DingliÔºàÊ≤à‰∏ÅÁ´ãÔºâ, a political scientist at Shanghai’s Fudan University(‰∏äÊµ∑Â§çÊó¶Â§ßÂ≠¶ÔºâChina’s best known arms-control experts, writes that, for Pyongyang, “the advantages of conducting a nuclear test outweigh the disadvantages; hence it will proceed with a nuclear test.”
His analysis, posted online at the Nautilus Institute, a Berkeley, Calif., geopolitical think tank (www.nautilus.org), asserts that North Korea would enhance its own national security, gain critical economic assistance and avoid American-initiated “regime change” by exploding one of the handful of A-bombs in its arsenal.
He says Pyongyang has good reason to bet that none of the region’s big powers”the United States, China, Russia and Japan”will do more than voice strenuous objections and impose symbolic punishments. [Full Text]
Related Article of “China Appeals to N. Korea to `keep Calm’” from AP