{"id":124182,"date":"2010-11-20T19:22:41","date_gmt":"2010-11-21T02:22:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/chinadigitaltimes.net\/chinese\/2010\/11\/%e4%b8%8d%e6%8a%95%e7%a5%a8%e4%b8%8d%e7%ad%89%e4%ba%8e%e4%b8%8d%e8%83%bd%e6%8a%95%e7%a5%a8\/"},"modified":"2010-11-20T19:22:41","modified_gmt":"2010-11-21T02:22:41","slug":"%e4%b8%8d%e6%8a%95%e7%a5%a8%e4%b8%8d%e7%ad%89%e4%ba%8e%e4%b8%8d%e8%83%bd%e6%8a%95%e7%a5%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/chinadigitaltimes.net\/chinese\/124182.html","title":{"rendered":"\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u4e0d\u7b49\u4e8e\u4e0d\u80fd\u6295\u7968"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u4e0d\u7b49\u4e8e\u4e0d\u80fd\u6295\u7968<\/span><span><\/p>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u5f90<\/span> <span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u8d32<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ece\u4e8b\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u7684<\/span><span>Pew<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6700\u8fd1\u5728\u5b83\u7684\u7f51\u7ad9\u4e0a\u520a\u8f7d\u4e86\u4e00\u7bc7\u9898\u4e3a\u300a\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u515a\u300b\uff08<\/span><span>The Party of<br \/>\nNonvoters<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\uff09\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u8ba8\u8bba\u5728\u8fd9\u6b21\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e2d\u671f\u9009\u4e3e\u4e2d\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u6240\u8bf4\u7684\u201c\u515a\u201d\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e\u662f\u6709\u6240\u540c\u4e00\uff08\u4e0d\u662f\u5171\u540c\uff09\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u4e00\u7fa4\u4eba\u3002\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u201c\u515a\u201d\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u653f\u515a\uff0c\u5b83\u65e2\u65e0\u7ec4\u7ec7\u53c8\u65e0\u7eb2\u9886\uff0c\u5b83\u751a\u81f3\u4e0d\u50cf\u201c\u8336\u515a\u201d\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fa8\u8ba4\uff0c\u53eb\u5f97\u54cd\u7684\u540d\u79f0\u3002\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f52\u5165\u201c\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u515a\u201d\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u7684\u9009\u6c11\uff0c\u4e0e\u5176\u8bf4\u662f\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u4ec0\u4e48\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u8fd8\u4e0d\u5982\u8bf4\u4ec0\u4e48\u884c\u52a8\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u91c7\u53d6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u90fd\u662f\u201c\u4e0d\u201d\u6295\u7968\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e2d\u671f\u9009\u4e3e\u65f6\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u6295\u7968\u7387\u4e00\u822c\u4f4e\u4e8e<\/span><span>40%<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\uff0c\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u7684\u5f80\u5f80\u662f\u5e74\u9f84\u8f83\u8f7b\u3001\u6559\u80b2\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8f83\u4f4e\u6216\u7ecf\u6d4e\u80fd\u529b\u8f83\u5dee\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u3002<\/span><span>2<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u5e74\u524d\u603b\u7edf\u9009\u4e3e\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a<\/span><span>18<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u540d\u5b66\u751f\u7684\u73ed\u4e0a\uff0c\u53ea\u6709<\/span><span>2<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u540d\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u4e2d\u671f\u9009\u4e3e\uff0c\u6211\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a<\/span><span>19<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u540d\u5b66\u751f\u7684\u73ed\u4e0a\uff0c\u53ea\u6709<\/span><span>5<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u540d\u6295\u4e86\u7968\uff0c\u843d\u5dee\u76f8\u5f53\u660e\u663e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u7531\u4e8e\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u4e0d\u5728\u9009\u4e3e\u65f6\u8868\u6001\uff0c\u5bf9\u4ed6\u4eec\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u4e24\u79cd\u8bef\u89e3\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u653f\u7b56\u95ee\u9898\u6ca1\u6709\u770b\u6cd5\uff1b\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u662f\u5bf9\u73b0\u6709\u4f53\u5236\u8868\u793a\u4e0d\u6ee1\u548c\u6297\u8bae\uff0c\u5176\u51b7\u6de1\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u65e0\u58f0\u7684\u53cd\u5bf9\u3002\u300a\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u515a\u300b\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u4ee5\u4e0a\u4e24\u79cd\u770b\u6cd5\u5176\u5b9e\u90fd\u662f\u4ee5\u610f\u4e3a\u4e4b\u7684\u731c\u5ea6\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5b9e\u9645\u6839\u636e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u9009\u6c11\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u6ca1\u6709\u770b\u6cd5\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u611a\u6c11\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5f53\u4e2d\u6709\u7684\u786e\u5b9e\u662f\u6559\u80b2\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8f83\u5dee\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4eec\u5f88\u6e05\u695a\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u6240\u5728\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u81ea\u8eab\u5229\u76ca\u6709\u5173\u7684\u516c\u5171\u4e8b\u52a1\u662f\u6709\u770b\u6cd5\u7684\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u5f80\u5f80\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u201c\u81ea\u79c1\u201d\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\u5229\u76ca\u610f\u8bc6\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e\u662f\u6c11\u4e3b\u653f\u6cbb\u4e2d\u516c\u6c11\u7684\u8d77\u7801\u89c9\u609f\u610f\u8bc6\u3002\u6c11\u4e3b\u653f\u6cbb\u5e76\u4e0d\u4ee5\u516c\u6c11\u5177\u6709\u9ad8\u8fdc\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6216\u9053\u5fb7\u7406\u60f3\u6765\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4ed6\u53c2\u4e0e\u516c\u5171\u4e8b\u52a1\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0d\u80fd\u4ee5\u6c11\u4f17\u6c34\u5e73\u4f4e\u3001\u7d20\u8d28\u5dee\u4e3a\u7406\u7531\u9650\u5236\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u53c2\u4e0e\u6743\u5229\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u7406\u60f3\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u89c2\u5f3a\u8c03\u516c\u6c11\u7684\u7f8e\u5fb7\u548c\u666e\u904d\u610f\u5fd7\uff0c\u516c\u6c11\u53c2\u4e0e\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u9009\u4e3e\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\u88ab\u63d0\u5347\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u516c\u5171\u7f8e\u5fb7\u548c\u7fa4\u4f53\u666e\u904d\u610f\u5fd7\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u8868\u73b0\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u5f88\u7f8e\u597d\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u7406\u60f3\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u5386\u53f2\u7684\u5b9e\u8df5\u5374\u5e76\u4e0d\u90a3\u4e48\u7f8e\u597d\u3002\u4efb\u4f55\u4e0d\u5141\u8bb8\u8d28\u7591\u7684\u5355\u4e00\u7f8e\u5fb7\u548c\u666e\u904d\u610f\u5fd7\u90fd\u4f1a\u5bf9\u4e2a\u4f53\u516c\u6c11\u6784\u6210\u5f3a\u5236\u529b<\/span><span>,<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u6210\u5c31\u516c\u6c11\u7684\u8d23\u4efb\u5fc3<\/span><span>,<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u6210\u4e3a\u4e13\u5236\u7684\u85c9\u53e3\u3002\u6587\u5316\u5927\u9769\u547d\u65f6\u671f\u5c31\u5f88\u5f3a\u8c03\u653f\u6cbb\u53c2\u4e0e<\/span><span>,<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u79ef\u6781\u6295\u5165\u8fd0\u52a8\u5c31\u662f\u5e72\u9769\u547d<\/span><span>,<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u5426\u5219\u5c31\u662f\u53cd\u9769\u547d<\/span><span>,<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u53c2\u52a0\u8fd0\u52a8\u662f\u516c\u6c11\u7684\u9996\u8981\u8d23\u4efb<\/span><span>,<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u56e0\u4e3a\u9769\u547d\u8fd0\u52a8\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u666e\u904d\u610f\u5fd7\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u76f8\u53cd<\/span><span>,<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u81ea\u7531\u6c11\u4e3b\u53cd\u5bf9\u62ff\u653f\u6cbb\u53c2\u4e0e\u53bb\u52c9\u5f3a\u666e\u901a\u4eba<\/span><span>,<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u8fd9\u662f\u51fa\u4e8e\u5bf9\u653f\u6cbb\u4e13\u5236\u503e\u5411\u7684\u8b66\u60d5<\/span><span>,<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u6240\u4ee5\u5b83\u7279\u522b\u5f3a\u8c03\u516c\u6c11\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\u9009\u62e9\u81ea\u7531\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u9009\u62e9\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u4e0d\u53c2\u4e0e\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u5176\u6b21\uff0c<\/span><span>Pew<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u6c11\u8c03\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u4e0d\u7b49\u4e8e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0a\u4e0d\u6ee1\u3002\u6709\u6743\u5229\u800c\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u548c\u6ca1\u6709\u6743\u5229\u6295\u7968\u662f\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u4e24\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u8d8a\u662f\u5bf9\u653f\u6cbb\u73b0\u72b6\u548c\u5236\u5ea6\u4e0d\u6ee1\u7684\u6c11\u4f17\uff0c\u8d8a\u662f\u4f1a\u5728\u9009\u4e3e\u65f6\u79ef\u6781\u8868\u8fbe\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5f3a\u70c8\u60c5\u7eea\u3002\u6bd4\u8d77\u6295\u7968\u7684\u9009\u6c11\uff0c\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u9009\u6c11\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u73b0\u72b6\u7684\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\uff0c\u5bf9\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u603b\u7edf\u8868\u73b0\u7684\u652f\u6301\u5ea6\u53cd\u800c\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e09\u6708\u4efd\u7531\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u4e3b\u5bfc\u901a\u8fc7\u7684\u5168\u6c11\u5065\u4fdd\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u6210\u5e74\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u652f\u6301\u5ea6\u4e3a<\/span><span>44%<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\uff0c\u6295\u7968\u9009\u6c11\u548c\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u652f\u6301\u5ea6\u5206\u522b\u4e3a<\/span><span>39%<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u548c<\/span><span>50%<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u3002\u5bf9\u8054\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u6ee1\u610f\u7684\u6295\u7968\u9009\u6c11\u548c\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u9009\u6c11\u5206\u522b\u662f<\/span><span>16%<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u548c<\/span><span>25%<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u8fd9\u4e00\u6c11\u8c03\u7ed3\u679c\u7b26\u5408\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u5bb6\u5bf9\u6c11\u4f17\u4e0d\u53c2\u4e0e\u539f\u56e0\u7684\u5206\u6790\u3002<\/span><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u4f2f\u7eb3\u5fb7<\/span><span>.<span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u8d1d\u96f7\u68ee<\/span>(Bernard Berelson)<span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u7b49\u4eba\u5728\u300a\u6295\u7968<\/span>:<span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u4e00\u6b21\u603b\u7edf\u9009\u4e3e\u7684\u8206\u8bba\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u4e00\u4e66\u4e2d\u5c31\u4ee5\u7f8e\u56fd\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\u5728\u6b63\u5e38\u8fd0\u4f5c\u4e3a\u524d\u63d0\uff0c\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e86\u6c11\u4f17\u51b7\u6f20\u548c\u4e0d\u53c2\u4e0e\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u8d1d\u96f7\u68ee\u7b49\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u662f\u5728\u5bf9\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u5b9a\u8868\u793a\u6ee1\u610f\u6216\u4e0d\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u65f6\u624d\u9009\u62e9\u51b7\u6de1\u6001\u5ea6\u7684\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u89c9\u5f97\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u8fd8\u5927\u81f4\u6b63\u5e38\u826f\u597d\uff0c\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\u8868\u793a\u6279\u8bc4\u548c\u53cd\u5bf9\u3002\u975e\u5e38\u6fc0\u70c8\u9ad8\u6602\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u70ed\u60c5\u5f80\u5f80\u663e\u793a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5236\u5ea6\u5185\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u5206\u88c2\u3001\u51b2\u7a81\u548c\u5371\u673a\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u6709\u5bf9\u6297\u6027\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u4f1a\u56e0\u4e3a\u611f\u60c5\u51b2\u52a8\u8d85\u8fc7\u7406\u6027\u601d\u8003\uff0c\u800c\u5f62\u6210\u201c\u8fc7\u5ea6\u53c2\u4e0e\u201d\u3002\u6587\u9769\u4e2d\u7684\u6d3e\u522b\u5206\u88c2\u5bfc\u81f4\u66b4\u529b\u7684\u6b66\u6597\u548c\u8840\u6218\uff0c\u4fbf\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f0f\u7684\u8fc7\u5ea6\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u4ece\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b<\/span><span>,<span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u653f\u6cbb\u51b7\u6de1\u6709\u9632\u6b62\u8fc7\u5ea6\u53c2\u4e0e\u7684\u7279\u6b8a\u529f\u80fd<\/span>,<span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u5bf9\u73b0\u4ee3\u6c11\u4e3b\u662f\u5fc5\u4e0d\u53ef\u5c11\u7684\uff0c\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u6c11\u4e3b\u793e\u4f1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u65e0\u9650\u5ea6\u5730\u627f\u53d7\u653f\u6cbb\u51b7\u6de1\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u201c\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u515a\u201d\u662f\u5728\u4eab\u6709\u6295\u7968\u6743\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u81ea\u7531\u9009\u62e9\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u7684\u3002\u548c\u4e2d\u95f4\u9009\u6c11\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u51b3\u5b9a\u5bf9\u7acb\u573a\u9c9c\u660e\u575a\u5b9a\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u548c\u5171\u548c\u4e24\u515a\u4e4b\u4e89\u6709\u4fc3\u4f7f\u59a5\u534f\u3001\u8c03\u548c\u5f02\u8bae\u3001\u7f13\u89e3\u51b2\u7a81\u3001\u51cf\u5c11\u9707\u8361\u7684\u5f71\u54cd<\/span>,<span lang=\"ZH-CN\">\u56e0\u800c\u80fd\u8d77\u5230\u7ef4\u62a4\u6c11\u4e3b\u4f53\u5236\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/move.blog.sina.com.cn\/msnmove\/index.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MSN\u7a7a\u95f4\u5b8c\u7f8e\u642c\u5bb6\u5230\u65b0\u6d6a\u535a\u5ba2!<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p> \u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u4e0d\u7b49\u4e8e\u4e0d\u80fd\u6295\u7968 \u5f90 \u8d32 \u00a0 \u7f8e\u56fd\u4ece\u4e8b\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u7684 Pew \u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6700\u8fd1\u5728\u5b83\u7684\u7f51\u7ad9\u4e0a\u520a\u8f7d\u4e86\u4e00\u7bc7\u9898\u4e3a\u300a\u4e0d\u6295\u7968\u515a\u300b\uff08 The Party of Nonvoters 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