{"id":178956,"date":"2011-09-13T10:30:05","date_gmt":"2011-09-13T17:30:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/chinadigitaltimes.net\/chinese\/2011\/09\/%e5%8d%81%e5%b9%b4%e5%90%8e%e7%9a%84%e6%88%91%e4%bc%9a%e8%bf%87%e4%b8%8a%e5%bf%ab%e4%b9%90%e7%9a%84%e7%94%9f%e6%b4%bb%e5%90%97\/"},"modified":"2011-09-13T10:30:05","modified_gmt":"2011-09-13T17:30:05","slug":"%e5%8d%81%e5%b9%b4%e5%90%8e%e7%9a%84%e6%88%91%e4%bc%9a%e8%bf%87%e4%b8%8a%e5%bf%ab%e4%b9%90%e7%9a%84%e7%94%9f%e6%b4%bb%e5%90%97","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/chinadigitaltimes.net\/chinese\/178956.html","title":{"rendered":"\u5341\u5e74\u540e\u7684\u6211\u4f1a\u8fc7\u4e0a\u5feb\u4e50\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u5417"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p><strong>\u4f5c\u8005\uff1akeledoll<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/songshuhui.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/3500274306_b613c449c0_%E5%89%AF%E6%9C%AC.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"350027 \" src=\"http:\/\/songshuhui.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/3500274306_b613c449c0_%E5%89%AF%E6%9C%AC.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"240\" height=\"313\" \/><\/a> \u5341\u5e74\u540e\u7684\u6211\u4f1a\u53d8\u6210\u600e\u6837\u5462\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4eba\u7c7b\u6700\u559c\u6b22\u4ece\u4e8b\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6709\u4eba\u628a\u8fd9\u53d1\u5c55\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u6587\u5316\u6216\u4ea7\u4e1a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6709\u7b97\u547d\u5360\u535c\u6276\u4e69\u95ee\u7c73\uff0c\u897f\u65b9\u6709\u5360\u661f\u9885\u76f8\u5b66\u8fd8\u6709\u5404\u5f0f\u5404\u6837\u672b\u4e16\u9884\u8a00\u3002\u5373\u4fbf\u79d1\u5b66\u754c\u4e5f\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u559c\u6b22\u4ece\u4e8b\u9884\u8a00\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u7136\u800c\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u9884\u6d4b\u81ea\u5df1\u672a\u6765\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u7684\u611f\u53d7\u4e0a\uff0c\u7684\u786e\u662f\u83dc\u9e1f\u7ea7\u522b\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Dan Gilbert\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u4e00\u4e9b\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u5bb6\u53d1\u73b0\u8fd9\u79cd\u201c\u9ad8\u4f30\u67d0\u4e2a\u7ecf\u5386\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u4f53\u9a8c\u7684\u5f3a\u5ea6\u548c\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u201d\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\u5341\u5206\u666e\u904d\uff0c\u4ed6\u628a\u8fd9\u79cd\u73b0\u8c61\u79f0\u4f5c\u201c\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u504f\u5dee\u201d\u3002 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span>\u201c\u5982\u679c\u8ba9\u4f60\u82b150\u5143\u4e70\u4e00\u7f50\u53ef\u4e50\uff0c\u4f60\u89c9\u5f97\u503c\u5417\uff1f\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u662f\u4e2a\u57285\u79d2\u949f\u4e4b\u5185\u6d4b\u8bd5\u4f60IQ\u7684\u9898\u76ee\u3002\u4f30\u8ba1\u4f60\u4e0d\u5047\u601d\u7d22\u5c31\u4f1a\u7ed9\u51fa\u7b54\u6848\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u8bf7\u4f60\u60f3\u8c61\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9ad8\u5f97\u60ca\u4eba\u7684CPI\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e8610\u500d\uff0c\u4e70\u68f5\u83dc\u90fd\u898130\u5143\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff1b\u6216\u8005\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4eba\u5728\u8352\u91ce\u4e2d\u5f92\u6b65\uff0c\u5f39\u5c3d\u7cae\u7edd\u5374\u7a81\u7136\u51fa\u73b0\u4e00\u4e2a\u5c0f\u5356\u90e8\u3002\u4f60\u4f1a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u89c9\u5f97\u8fd9\u4e2a\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u597d\u4e70\u5356\u5462\uff1f\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u6211\u60f3\u4f60\u521a\u521a\u4f30\u8ba1\u6ca1\u6709\u60f3\u5230\u8fd9\u4e9b\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u6ca1\u60f3\u5230\u5c31\u5bf9\u4e86\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u56de\u5fc6\u8fc7\u53bb\u8981\u6bd4\u60f3\u8c61\u65b0\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u7b80\u5355\u5f97\u591a\u3002\u5728\u4f60\u770b\u5230\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u60f3\u5230\u81ea\u5df1\u4ee5\u524d\u4e70\u4e00\u7f50\u53ef\u4e50\u5c31\u662f\u82b13-5\u5143\uff0c\u4ee5\u6b64\u4f5c\u53c2\u7167\u6765\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u611f\u53d7\u4f5c\u51fa\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e5f\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u5927\u8111\u7231\u8d70\u7684\u6377\u5f84\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Dan 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href=\"http:\/\/songshuhui.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/01_%E5%89%AF%E6%9C%AC.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"01_\u526f\u672c\" src=\"http:\/\/songshuhui.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/01_%E5%89%AF%E6%9C%AC.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"300\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<ul>[\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1ahttp:\/\/video.ted.com\/talk\/podcast\/2005G\/None\/DanGilbert_2005G-480p.mp4]<\/ul>\n<p>\u8fd9\u79cd\u8fc7\u53bb\u505a\u67d0\u4ef6\u4e8b\u60c5\u7684\u611f\u53d7\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u53c2\u8003\u7684\u5750\u6807\uff0c\u5f53\u4f60\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u8981\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u4f53\u9a8c\u505a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u7528\u5230\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u672a\u6765\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u5176\u5b9e\u5f88\u591a\u90fd\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u5e94\u8be5\u66f4\u6df1\u5165\u5730\u60f3\u60f3\u5176\u4ed6\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u8001\u662f\u53d7\u5230\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u7275\u7eca\u5462\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u53e6\u5916\u4e00\u4e2a\u5728\u60c5\u7eea\u9884\u6d4b\u4e0a\u7684\u9519\u89c9\u5c31\u662f\u951a\u5b9a\u6548\u5e94\uff08focalism\uff09\uff0c\u53ea\u5b64\u7acb\u5730\u770b\u5230\u67d0\u4ef6\u4e8b\u60c5\u6216\u8005\u67d0\u4e2a\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u800c\u6ca1\u60f3\u5230\u5176\u4ed6\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u60f3\u8c61\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u4e2d\u4e86500\u4e07\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4f60\u5bf9\u4e00\u5e74\u540e\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u4f1a\u66f4\u6ee1\u610f\u5417\uff1f\u4e2d\u4e86500\u4e07\u662f\u4ef6\u591a\u4e48\u8ba9\u4eba\u5f00\u5fc3\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u554a\uff0c\u4e0d\u8981\u8bf41\u5e74\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u672a\u676510\u5e74\u90fd\u4f1a\u751f\u6d3b\u5982\u610f\u3002\u53ef\u662f\u4f60\u6709\u6ca1\u6709\u60f3\u8fc7\uff0c1\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u4e2d\u5de8\u5956\u8fd9\u4ef6\u4e8b\u60c5\u4ee5\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u56e0\u7d20\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u5230\u4f60\u7684\u5feb\u4e50\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u4f60\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u56e0\u4e3a\u81ea\u5df1\u6709\u90a3\u4e48\u5927\u7b14\u94b1\u62c5\u60ca\u53d7\u6015\uff0c\u5bb3\u6015\u6709\u4eba\u6765\u8c0b\u8d22\u5bb3\u547d\uff1b\u53c8\u6216\u8005\u662f\u4f1a\u751f\u75c5\u4e0d\u8212\u670d\uff0c\u53c8\u6216\u8005\u4e3a\u600e\u6837\u5408\u7406\u5206\u914d\u8fd9\u7b14\u94b1\u800c\u70e6\u607c\uff0c\u4f60\u7684\u8001\u5a46\/\u8001\u516c\u53ef\u80fd\u8981\u8ddf\u4f60\u95f9\u79bb\u5a5a\u3002\u603b\u800c\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u5f53\u4f60\u601d\u8003\u672a\u6765\u7684\u67d0\u4e00\u523b\u4f60\u7684\u611f\u53d7\u65f6\uff0c\u4f60\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8ba4\u771f\u5730\u5206\u6790\u8fd9\u4ef6\u4e8b\u60c5\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5374\u5ffd\u7565\u6389\u4e86\u5176\u4ed6\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u54cd\u4f60\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u611f\u53d7\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u5373\u662f\u53ea\u89c1\u6811\u6728\uff0c\u4e0d\u89c1\u68ee\u6797\u3002\u800c\u8fd9\u79cd\u5c40\u9650\u6027\uff0c\u5c31\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e86\u6211\u4eec\u5f88\u96be\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u4f5c\u51fa\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n<h1>\u65f6\u95f4\u8fd1\u89c6\u773c<\/h1>\n<p>\u5373\u4fbf\u4f60\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e86\u89e3\u6240\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u59cb\u7ec8\u8ddf\u6bd5\u52a0\u7d22\u7684\u753b\u4e00\u6837\u2014\u2014\u662f\u62bd\u8c61\u7684\u4ee3\u540d\u8bcd\u3002\u5728\u89c6\u89c9\u77e5\u89c9\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\u8fd1\u5927\u8fdc\u5c0f\u7684\u539f\u5219\u5566\uff0c\u8d8a\u662f\u8fdc\u5904\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\u770b\u4e0a\u53bb\u5c31\u8d8a\u5c11\u3002\u90a3\u4e48\u73b0\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u53c8\u6765\u505a\u4e00\u6761IQ\u9898\uff0c\u56feA\u4e2d\uff0c\u7a76\u7adf\u54e5\u65af\u62c9\u8fd8\u662f\u8d85\u4eba\u6bd4\u8f83\u9ad8\uff1f\u76f8\u4fe1\u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u4f1a\u89c9\u5f97\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9898\u76ee\u4fae\u8fb1\u4f60\u7684\u667a\u5546\uff0c\u5f53\u7136\u662f\u8d85\u4eba\u6bd4\u8f83\u9ad8\u5927\u82f1\u4fca\u5566\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u5047\u5982\u54e5\u65af\u62c9\u548c\u8d85\u4eba\u7ad9\u5728\u79bb\u4f601\u516c\u91cc\u5916\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u51b3\u6597\uff0c\u5982\u56feB\u3002\u90a3\u4e48\u4f60\u8fd8\u80fd\u90a3\u4e48\u5feb\u7ed9\u51fa\u7b54\u6848\u5417\uff1f\u5f88\u660e\u663e\uff0c\u8d8a\u662f\u8fdc\u5904\uff0c\u54e5\u65af\u62c9\u548c\u8d85\u4eba\u8eab\u9ad8\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u5c31\u6ca1\u90a3\u4e48\u660e\u663e\u5566\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5c31\u597d\u50cf\u8fd1\u89c6\u773c\uff0c\u800c\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u4e8e\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e5f\u6709\u8fd9\u79cd\u8fd1\u89c6\u773c\uff0c\u8d8a\u662f\u79bb\u6211\u4eec\u63a5\u8fd1\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u5c31\u8d8a\u51c6\u786e\uff0c\u800c\u8d8a\u8fdc\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u5c31\u663e\u5f97\u6a21\u6a21\u7cca\u7cca\uff0c\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u4f5c\u51fa\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/songshuhui.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/image005_%E5%89%AF%E6%9C%AC.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"image005_\u526f\u672c\" src=\"http:\/\/songshuhui.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/image005_%E5%89%AF%E6%9C%AC.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"599\" height=\"343\" 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href=\"http:\/\/songshuhui.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/2047_%E5%89%AF%E6%9C%AC.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" title=\"2047_\u526f\u672c\" src=\"http:\/\/songshuhui.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/2047_%E5%89%AF%E6%9C%AC.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"240\" height=\"244\" 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D.T., Pinel, E.C., Wilson,T.D., Blumberg, S.J., &#038; Wheatley,T. (1998). Immune neglect: A source of durability bias in affective forecasting. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 75, 617-638.<\/p>\n<p>Wilson,T.D., Wheatley, T. P., Meyers, J. M., Gilbert, D. T., &#038; Axsom, D. (2000). Focalism: A source of durability bias in affective forecasting. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 78, 821-836.<\/p>\n<p>Wilson,T.D. &#038; Gilbert,D.T.(2005). Affective forecasting: Knowing what to want. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 14, 131-134.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u63a8\u8350\u8d44\u6599\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>TED\u6f14\u8bb2:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Dan Gilbert\uff1aWhy you are happy? http:\/\/www.ted.com\/talks\/dan_gilbert_asks_why_are_we_happy.html<\/li>\n<li>Dan Gilbert Mistaken Expectation http:\/\/www.ted.com\/talks\/lang\/eng\/dan_gilbert_researches_happiness.html<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u300a\u649e\u4e0a\u5feb\u4e50\u300b \u4e39\u5c3c\u5c14?\u5409\u5c14\u4f2f\u7279\u8457 \u5f20\u5ca9\u8bd1 2007\u5e747\u6708 \u4e2d\u4fe1\u51fa\u7248\u793e<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u6587\u5df2\u53d1\u8868\u4e8e <a href=\"http:\/\/www.guokr.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u679c\u58f3\u7f51<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.guokr.com\/site\/psybst\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u5fc3\u4e8b\u9274\u5b9a\u7ec4\u4e3b\u9898\u7ad9<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.guokr.com\/article\/62930\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u300a\u5341\u5e74\u540e\u7684\u6211\u4f1a\u8fc7\u4e0a\u5feb\u4e50\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u5417\uff1f\u300b<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><object classid=\"clsid:02BF25D5-8C17-4B23-BC80-D3488ABDDC6B\" codebase=\"http:\/\/www.apple.com\/qtactivex\/qtplugin.cab\" width=\"250\" height=\"206\"><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/video.ted.com\/talk\/podcast\/2005G\/None\/DanGilbert_2005G-480p.mp4\" \/><param name=\"controller\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"autoplay\" value=\"false\" \/><!--[if gte IE 7]> <!--><object type=\"video\/quicktime\" data=\"http:\/\/video.ted.com\/talk\/podcast\/2005G\/None\/DanGilbert_2005G-480p.mp4\" width=\"250\" height=\"206\"><param name=\"controller\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"autoplay\" value=\"false\" \/>alt : <a href=\"http:\/\/video.ted.com\/talk\/podcast\/2005G\/None\/DanGilbert_2005G-480p.mp4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">http:\/\/video.ted.com\/talk\/podcast\/2005G\/None\/DanGilbert_2005G-480p.mp4<\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/video.ted.com\/talk\/podcast\/2005G\/None\/DanGilbert_2005G-480p.mp4>http:\/\/video.ted.com\/talk\/podcast\/2005G\/None\/DanGilbert_2005G-480p.mp4<\/a><\/object><!--<![endif]--><!--[if lt IE 7]><a href=\"http:\/\/video.ted.com\/talk\/podcast\/2005G\/None\/DanGilbert_2005G-480p.mp4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">http:\/\/video.ted.com\/talk\/podcast\/2005G\/None\/DanGilbert_2005G-480p.mp4<\/a><![endif]--><\/object> <\/p>\n<p><small>\u672c\u6587\u7531\u81ea\u52a8\u805a\u5408\u7a0b\u5e8f\u53d6\u81ea\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u5185\u5bb9\u548c\u89c2\u70b9\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u6570\u5b57\u65f6\u4ee3\u7acb\u573a<\/small><\/p>\n<form method=\"POST\" action=\"http:\/\/www.feedblitz.com\/f\/f.fbz?AddNewUserDirect\">\n\u5b9a\u671f\u83b7\u5f97\u7ffb\u5899\u4fe1\u606f\uff1f<a href=\"http:\/\/www.feedblitz.com\/f\/?Sub=738338\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u8bf7\u7535\u90ae\u8ba2\u9605\u6570\u5b57\u65f6\u4ee3<\/a> <br \/><input name=\"EMAIL\" maxlength=\"64\" type=\"text\" size=\"25\" value=\"\"><br \/>\n<input name=\"FEEDID\" type=\"hidden\" value=\"738338\"><br \/>\n<input name=\"PUBLISHER\" type=\"hidden\" value=\"7485568\"><br \/>\n<input type=\"submit\" value=\"\u8ba2\u9605!\"><br \/>\n<\/form>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p> \u4f5c\u8005\uff1akeledoll \u5341\u5e74\u540e\u7684\u6211\u4f1a\u53d8\u6210\u600e\u6837\u5462\uff1f \u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4eba\u7c7b\u6700\u559c\u6b22\u4ece\u4e8b\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6709\u4eba\u628a\u8fd9\u53d1\u5c55\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u6587\u5316\u6216\u4ea7\u4e1a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6709\u7b97\u547d\u5360\u535c\u6276\u4e69\u95ee\u7c73\uff0c\u897f\u65b9\u6709\u5360\u661f\u9885\u76f8\u5b66\u8fd8\u6709\u5404\u5f0f\u5404\u6837\u672b\u4e16\u9884\u8a00\u3002\u5373\u4fbf\u79d1\u5b66\u754c\u4e5f\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u559c\u6b22\u4ece\u4e8b\u9884\u8a00\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u7136\u800c\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u9884\u6d4b\u81ea\u5df1\u672a\u6765\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u7684\u611f\u53d7\u4e0a\uff0c\u7684\u786e\u662f\u83dc\u9e1f\u7ea7\u522b\u7684\u3002 Dan Gilbert\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u4e00\u4e9b\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u5bb6\u53d1\u73b0\u8fd9\u79cd\u201c\u9ad8\u4f30\u67d0\u4e2a\u7ecf\u5386\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u4f53\u9a8c\u7684\u5f3a\u5ea6\u548c\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u201d\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\u5341\u5206\u666e\u904d\uff0c\u4ed6\u628a\u8fd9\u79cd\u73b0\u8c61\u79f0\u4f5c\u201c\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u504f\u5dee\u201d\u3002 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[\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u6e90\uff1ahttp:\/\/video.ted.com\/talk\/podcast\/2005G\/None\/DanGilbert_2005G-480p.mp4] \u8fd9\u79cd\u8fc7\u53bb\u505a\u67d0\u4ef6\u4e8b\u60c5\u7684\u611f\u53d7\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u53c2\u8003\u7684\u5750\u6807\uff0c\u5f53\u4f60\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u8981\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u4f53\u9a8c\u505a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u7528\u5230\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u672a\u6765\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u5176\u5b9e\u5f88\u591a\u90fd\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u5e94\u8be5\u66f4\u6df1\u5165\u5730\u60f3\u60f3\u5176\u4ed6\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u8001\u662f\u53d7\u5230\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u7275\u7eca\u5462\uff1f 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(1998). Immune neglect: A source of durability bias in affective forecasting. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 75, 617-638. Wilson,T.D., Wheatley, T. 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