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\u5e74\u8fbe\u5230\u9876\u5cf0\u540e\u5f00\u59cb\u8d1f\u589e\u957f\uff1b20-29\u5c81\u9ec4\u91d1\u5e74\u9f84\u80b2\u9f84\u5987\u5973\uff082\/3\u7684\u5b69\u5b50\u662f\u8be5\u5e74\u9f84\u6bb5\u5987\u5973\u6240\u751f\uff09\u4e5f\u662f\u57282011\u5e74\u8fbe\u52301.14\u4ebf\u7684\u9876\u5cf0\u540e\uff0c\u57282012\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u5feb\u901f\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u52302032\u5e74\u53ea\u67090.65\u4ebf\uff08\u6bd42011\u5e74\u51cf\u5c1143%\uff09\u3002\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5373\u4fbf\u80fd\u4fdd\u6301\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u4e5f\u5c06\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u800c\u968f\u7740\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6bcf\u5e74\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u53e3\u5df2\u7ecf\u75311980\u5e74\u7684626\u4e07\u589e\u52a0\u52301990\u5e74\u7684763\u4e07\u30012000\u5e74\u7684813\u4e07\u30012011\u5e74\u7684960\u4e07\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u300a\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u5c55\u671b\uff0d2010\u5e74\u4fee\u8ba2\u7248\u300b\u7684\u4f4e\u65b9\u6848\uff08\u4e2d\u3001\u9ad8\u65b9\u6848\u6bcf\u5e74\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u7565\u591a\u4e00\u4e9b\uff09\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6bcf\u5e74\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u589e\u52a0\u52302030\u5e74\u76841350\u4e07\u30012050\u5e74\u76841862\u4e07\uff1b\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u5c06\u589e\u52a0\u52302030\u5e74\u768410.24%\u30012050\u5e74\u768416.34%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u5c06\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u5374\u5c06\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e5f\u5c06\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u8d1f\u589e\u957f\u7684\u8fb9\u7f18\u3002\u6839\u636e\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5df2\u7ecf\u4ece1987\u5e74\u768416.61\u2030\u51e0\u4e4e\u76f4\u7ebf\u5730\u4e0b\u964d\u52302011\u5e74\u76844.79\u2030\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e74\u589e\u4eba\u53e3\u4e5f\u662f\u51e0\u4e4e\u76f4\u7ebf\u5730\u4ece1987\u5e74\u76841815\u4e07\u4e0b\u964d\u52302011\u5e74\u7684644\u4e07\u3002<\/p>\n<p><em>\u4e0b\u8868\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u6bcf\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387\u548c\u5e74\u589e\u4eba\u53e3<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/i.ftimg.net\/picture\/1\/000030671_piclink_0_0.jpg\" alt=\"\" align=\"left\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u5c061987\u5e74\u52302011\u5e74\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387\u8fdb\u884c\u76f4\u7ebf\u56de\u5f52\u62df\u5408\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e74\u4efd\u4e3aX\u5750\u6807\uff0c\u4ee5\u6bcf\u5e74\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e3aY\u5750\u6807\uff0c\u62df\u5408\u65b9\u7a0b\u5982\u4e0b\uff1ay = -0.5125x + 1033.5\uff0c\u62df\u5408\u4f18\u5ea6\uff08R2\uff09\u8fbe\u52300.9473\u3002\u4ee5\u8fd9\u4e2a\u516c\u5f0f\u63a8\u7b972011\u5e74\u4ee5\u540e\u6bcf\u5e74\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5c06\u57282017\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u4e3a\u8d1f\u503c\u3002\u4ee5\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u516c\u5e03\u76842011\u5e7413.4735\u4ebf\u4eba\u53e3\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u57282016\u5e74\u8fbe\u523013.56\u4ebf\u7684\u9876\u5cf0\u540e\uff0c\u4e8e2017\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u8d1f\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c061987\u5e74\u52302011\u5e74\u7684\u5e74\u589e\u4eba\u53e3\u8fdb\u884c\u76f4\u7ebf\u56de\u5f52\u62df\u5408\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e74\u4efd\u4e3aX\u5750\u6807\uff0c\u4ee5\u6bcf\u5e74\u5e74\u589e\u4eba\u53e3\u4e3aY\u5750\u6807\uff0c\u62df\u5408\u65b9\u7a0b\u5982\u4e0b\uff1ay = -52.761x + 106561\uff0c\u62df\u5408\u4f18\u5ea6\uff08R2\uff09\u8fbe\u52300.9588\u3002\u4ee5\u8fd9\u4e2a\u516c\u5f0f\u63a8\u7b972011\u5e74\u4ee5\u540e\u6bcf\u5e74\u5e74\u589e\u4eba\u53e3\uff0c\u5e74\u589e\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u57282020\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u4e3a\u8d1f\u503c\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u57282019\u5e74\u8fbe\u523013.65\u4ebf\u7684\u9876\u5cf0\u540e\u5f00\u59cb\u8d1f\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u300a\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u5c55\u671b\uff0d2010\u5e74\u4fee\u8ba2\u7248\u300b\u7684\u4f4e\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u57282017\u5e74\u8fbe\u523013.6\u4ebf\u9876\u5cf0\u540e\uff0c\u4e8e2018\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u8d1f\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5c06\u57282100\u5e74\u964d\u4f4e\u52305\u4ebf\u3002\u5176\u5b9e\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u7684\u4f4e\u65b9\u6848\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u6765\u8bf4\u8fd8\u8fc7\u4e8e\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u8ba4\u4e3a2010\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u4e3a1.64\uff0c\u4f462010\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u663e\u793a\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u53ea\u67091.18\u3002\u75282010\u5e74\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u7ed3\u6784\u548c1.18\u7684\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u57282017\u5e74\u8fbe\u523013.4\u4ebf\u7684\u9876\u5cf0\u540e\u5f00\u59cb\u8d1f\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u52302100\u5e74\u53ea\u67094.6\u4ebf\u4eba\uff0c\u52302200\u5e74\u53ea\u52696800\u4e07\u4eba\u3002\u5982\u679c2010\u5e74\u540e\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u80fd\u591f\u63d0\u9ad8\u52301.3\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u57282019\u5e74\u8fbe\u523013.5\u4ebf\u9876\u5cf0\u540e\u5f00\u59cb\u8d1f\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n<p><em>\u4e0b\u56fe\uff1a\u6839\u636e1987-2011\u5e74\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387\u3001\u5e74\u589e\u4eba\u53e3\u63a8\u6d4b\u4eca\u540e\u4eba\u53e3\u53d8\u5316<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/i.ftimg.net\/picture\/2\/000030672_piclink_0_0.jpg\" alt=\"\" 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\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387=\u51fa\u751f\u7387-\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u3002\u5982\u679c\u53f6\u6a80\u76841.2%\u662f\u51fa\u751f\u7387\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u300a\u4e2d\u534e\u4eba\u6c11\u5171\u548c\u56fd2011\u5e74\u56fd\u6c11\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u53d1\u5c55\u7edf\u8ba1\u516c\u62a5\u300b\uff0c2011\u5e74\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u5df2\u7ecf\u662f0.714%\u4e86\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387\u53ea\u67090.486%\uff081.2%-0.714%=0.486%\uff0c\u4eca\u540e\u8fd8\u5c06\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0b\u964d\uff09\uff0c\u8fd8\u4f4e\u4e8e\u53f6\u6a80\u6240\u8ba4\u540c\u76840.5%\u3002 \u5982\u679c\u53f6\u6a80\u76841.2%\u662f\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387\uff0c\u90a3\u4e482011\u5e74\u7684\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u662f1.914%\uff081.2%+0.714%=1.914%\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u516c\u5e03\u7684134735\u4e07\u7684\u603b\u4eba\u53e3\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c2011\u5e74\u51fa\u751f\u4eba\u53e3\u5e94\u4e3a2579\u4e07\uff08134735\u00d71.914%=2579\uff09\uff0c\u8fdc\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e2010\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u76840\u5c81\u4eba\u53e31379\u4e07\uff1b\u5957\u75282010\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u7684\u6807\u51c6\u5316\u5e74\u9f84\u522b\u751f\u80b2\u7387\uff0c\u51fa\u751f\u4eba\u53e3\u4e3a2579\u4e07\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u5e94\u8be5\u4e3a2.37\uff0c\u662f2010\u5e74\u666e\u67e51.18\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u7684\u4e24\u500d\u3002\u53f6\u6a80\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u5c31\u5c06\u8017\u8d3980\u4ebf\u5143\u3001800\u4e07\u666e\u67e5\u5458\u53c2\u4e0e\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u6495\u6210\u788e\u7247\u3002 \u8981\u8fbe\u5230\u53f6\u6a80\u6240\u8bf4\u7684\u201c\u589e\u957f\u7387\u6062\u590d\u81f32.3\uff05\u201d\uff0c\u90a3\u4e482011\u5e74\u7684\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u5e94\u662f3.014%\uff082.3%+0.714%=3.014%\uff09\uff0c\u51fa\u751f\u4eba\u53e3\u5e94\u4e3a4061\u4e07\uff08134735\u00d73.014%=4061\uff09\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u5e94\u8be5\u662f3.7\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u51fa\u751f\u4eba\u6570\u6700\u591a\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u662f\u5927\u8dc3\u8fdb\u4e4b\u540e\u76841963\u5e74\uff08\u8865\u507f\u6027\u51fa\u751f\u9ad8\u5cf0\uff09\uff0c\u6839\u636e1964\u5e74\u7684\u666e\u67e5\uff0c1963\u5e74\u51fa\u751f\u4eba\u53e3\u4e5f\u53ea\u67093025\u4e07\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u5e74\u51fa\u751f\u4eba\u53e3\u4e5f\u4ece\u6765\u6ca1\u6709\u8d85\u8fc73000\u4e07\u7684\u3002 \u53ef\u89c1\u53f6\u6a80\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u662f\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u9519\u7684\u79bb\u8c31\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u636e\u548c\u5206\u6790\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u7684\u3002\u5728\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u7684\u9519\u8bef\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u53f6\u6a80\u7684\u7cfb\u5217\u4eba\u53e3\u6587\u7ae0\u8fd8\u5199\u5f97\u4e0b\u53bb\uff1f\u5f53\u7136\u5982\u679c\u5979\u5982\u5b8b\u5065\u3001\u7a0b\u6069\u5bcc\u3001\u674e\u5c0f\u5e73\u90a3\u6837\u5e0c\u671b\u5c06\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u51cf\u5c11\u52307\u4ebf\u30015\u4ebf\u30013\u4ebf\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u522b\u5f53\u4ed6\u8bba\u4e86\u3002 \u51fa\u751f\u7387\u548c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u662f\u52a8\u6001\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u3002\u5b69\u5b50\u662f\u6bcd\u4eb2\u751f\u7684\uff0c\u6839\u636e2010\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\uff0c15-49\u5c81\u603b\u80b2\u9f84\u5987\u5973\u57282011\u5e74\u8fbe\u5230\u9876\u5cf0\u540e\u5f00\u59cb\u8d1f\u589e\u957f\uff1b20-29\u5c81\u9ec4\u91d1\u5e74\u9f84\u80b2\u9f84\u5987\u5973\uff082\/3\u7684\u5b69\u5b50\u662f\u8be5\u5e74\u9f84\u6bb5\u5987\u5973\u6240\u751f\uff09\u4e5f\u662f\u57282011\u5e74\u8fbe\u52301.14\u4ebf\u7684\u9876\u5cf0\u540e\uff0c\u57282012\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u5feb\u901f\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u52302032\u5e74\u53ea\u67090.65\u4ebf\uff08\u6bd42011\u5e74\u51cf\u5c1143%\uff09\u3002\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5373\u4fbf\u80fd\u4fdd\u6301\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u4e5f\u5c06\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u964d\u3002 \u800c\u968f\u7740\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6bcf\u5e74\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u53e3\u5df2\u7ecf\u75311980\u5e74\u7684626\u4e07\u589e\u52a0\u52301990\u5e74\u7684763\u4e07\u30012000\u5e74\u7684813\u4e07\u30012011\u5e74\u7684960\u4e07\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u300a\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u5c55\u671b\uff0d2010\u5e74\u4fee\u8ba2\u7248\u300b\u7684\u4f4e\u65b9\u6848\uff08\u4e2d\u3001\u9ad8\u65b9\u6848\u6bcf\u5e74\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u7565\u591a\u4e00\u4e9b\uff09\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6bcf\u5e74\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u589e\u52a0\u52302030\u5e74\u76841350\u4e07\u30012050\u5e74\u76841862\u4e07\uff1b\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u5c06\u589e\u52a0\u52302030\u5e74\u768410.24%\u30012050\u5e74\u768416.34%\u3002 \u51fa\u751f\u7387\u5c06\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u5374\u5c06\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e5f\u5c06\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u8d1f\u589e\u957f\u7684\u8fb9\u7f18\u3002\u6839\u636e\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5df2\u7ecf\u4ece1987\u5e74\u768416.61\u2030\u51e0\u4e4e\u76f4\u7ebf\u5730\u4e0b\u964d\u52302011\u5e74\u76844.79\u2030\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e74\u589e\u4eba\u53e3\u4e5f\u662f\u51e0\u4e4e\u76f4\u7ebf\u5730\u4ece1987\u5e74\u76841815\u4e07\u4e0b\u964d\u52302011\u5e74\u7684644\u4e07\u3002 \u4e0b\u8868\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u6bcf\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387\u548c\u5e74\u589e\u4eba\u53e3 \u5c061987\u5e74\u52302011\u5e74\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387\u8fdb\u884c\u76f4\u7ebf\u56de\u5f52\u62df\u5408\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e74\u4efd\u4e3aX\u5750\u6807\uff0c\u4ee5\u6bcf\u5e74\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e3aY\u5750\u6807\uff0c\u62df\u5408\u65b9\u7a0b\u5982\u4e0b\uff1ay = -0.5125x + 1033.5\uff0c\u62df\u5408\u4f18\u5ea6\uff08R2\uff09\u8fbe\u52300.9473\u3002\u4ee5\u8fd9\u4e2a\u516c\u5f0f\u63a8\u7b972011\u5e74\u4ee5\u540e\u6bcf\u5e74\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5c06\u57282017\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u4e3a\u8d1f\u503c\u3002\u4ee5\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u516c\u5e03\u76842011\u5e7413.4735\u4ebf\u4eba\u53e3\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u57282016\u5e74\u8fbe\u523013.56\u4ebf\u7684\u9876\u5cf0\u540e\uff0c\u4e8e2017\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u8d1f\u589e\u957f\u3002 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