{"id":115434,"date":"2010-11-08T11:02:48","date_gmt":"2010-11-08T18:02:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/chinadigitaltimes.net\/?p=115434"},"modified":"2010-11-08T15:08:56","modified_gmt":"2010-11-08T22:08:56","slug":"climate-change-takes-toll-on-grain-harvest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/chinadigitaltimes.net\/2010\/11\/climate-change-takes-toll-on-grain-harvest\/","title":{"rendered":"Climate Change ‘Takes Toll’ on Grain Harvest"},"content":{"rendered":"
China Daily carries a warning<\/a> of serious and sustained decline in China’s grain production:<\/p>\n Tang Huajun, deputy dean of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS), said a 5 to 10 percent crop loss is foreseeable by 2030 if climate change continues.<\/p>\n “The impact of climate change, coupled with arable land loss and water shortages, will cause a bigger grain production fluctuation and pose a threat to reaching output targets,” Tang told China Daily.<\/p>\n China, which recorded a grain output of 530.8 million tons in 2009, plans to increase output to 550 million tons by 2020 to ensure grain security for the world’s most populous country.<\/p>\n However, China is likely to face an inadequate food supply by 2030 and its overall food production could fall by 23 percent by 2050, a previous report released by Greenpeace predicted.<\/p>\n “The output of the country’s three main foods, rice, wheat and corn may suffer a 37 percent decline in the latter part of this century if the government fails to take effective measures to address the impact of climate change,” Tang said.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n Tang’s nomination of drought as the biggest challenge to Chinese farming echoes earlier findings by the CASS reported<\/a> in March: <\/p>\n According to statistics from the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS), the average annual crop losses due to drought in China were 75.7 billion yuan ($11.1 billion) from 1988 to 2004, while annual losses due to flood were 51.1 billion yuan.<\/p>\n “Drought has become the greatest disaster facing China’s agriculture,” said Lin Erda, a professor with CAAS.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n A recently featured<\/a> article<\/a> from Beijing Review celebrated China’s escape from feared shortages after a year beset by natural disasters, but expressed similar concern about long-term food security.<\/p>\n\n
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