\u00a0\u201cThe central bank aims to ease policies prudently and pace loan growth at the beginning of the year so as to avoid a replay of the credit explosion in 2009 and 2010 and prevent inflation from rebounding,\u201d said Lu Zhengwei, a Shanghai-based economist at Industrial Bank. Lu now sees a reserve-ratio cut in February to add liquidity and spur growth after the reverse-repurchase contracts expire.<\/p>\n
Some analysts backed away from their reserve-ratio predictions when they saw the central bank inject 353 billion yuan ($55.7 billion) into the financial system in the week before the holiday, using the 14-day contracts. Barclays said the move had an effect similar to a cut in the bank requirements.<\/p>\n
Postponing a reserve ratio cut indicates monetary easing \u201cis meant to be moderate and controllable,\u201d Hong Kong-based JPMorgan economists led by Zhu Haibin wrote in a Jan. 20 report after forecasting a pre-festival move in a Jan. 17 report. A cut \u201cin the coming weeks\u201d remains likely because market liquidity will be tight when the 14-day reverse repurchase contracts mature, they said.<\/p>\n
The central bank is allowing the nation\u2019s five biggest lenders, including Industrial & Commercial Bank of China, to increase first-quarter lending by a maximum of about 5 percent from a year earlier, two people at state lenders said previously.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Despite speculation about a drop in the bank reserve ratio due to high money demand for the Lunar New Year, China held off a reduction in the bank reserve requirement. Prior to this speculation, there was one cut in the reserve requirement, which was the first since 2008. Reserve ratios are used as a tool […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":984,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[2,14745,14746],"tags":[5581,3378,7800,1094],"class_list":["post-130603","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy","category-level-3-article","category-level-4-article","tag-bank-reserve-ratio","tag-central-bank","tag-economic-slowdown","tag-inflation","et-doesnt-have-format-content","et_post_format-et-post-format-standard"],"yoast_head":"\n
China Holds Off Reserve Ratio Cut<\/title>\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\t \n\t \n\t \n \n \n \n \n \n\t \n\t \n\t \n