China’s Boom Beginning to Show Cracks, Analysts Say

New data shows that inflation, rising labor costs and government debt are adding to the slowdown of China’s economic growth. From the New York Times:

Several economists in China have recently lowered their growth forecasts for this year and next year to about 8.5 percent, down from earlier forecasts of 9 to 10 percent, while also warning about the possibility of a sharp rise in nonperforming loans at the nation’s big state-owned banks.

On Monday, for instance, Credit Suisse said data recently released by the Chinese central bank showed that credit in China had expanded at “alarming levels,” far more than previous government estimates suggested. Credit Suisse downgraded its profit forecasts for Chinese companies and state-owned banks, as it warned of slowing growth for the overall economy.

The reports come at a time of heightened concern about slower growth in other parts of the world, including the United States, Europe and Japan.

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