From Business Week (link):
For years, Yongjin Group has earned a decent profit selling lamps and furniture to the likes of Wal-Mart (WMT ), Home Depot (HD ), Target (TGT ), and Pottery Barn. But lately the company has seen its margins shrink to 5% — half what Yongjin made when it opened its factory in the steamy southern Chinese city of Dongguan 14 years ago. Why? Labor shortages are forcing the company to boost wages. Last year salaries surged 40%, to an average of $160 a month, and Yongjin still can’t find enough workers. “This business needs a lot of labor,” says President Sam Lin. “This is a very tough challenge.”
…The wage issue has started to affect how companies operate in China. U.S. corporations and their suppliers are starting to rethink where to locate facilities, whether deeper into the interior (where salaries and land values are smaller), or even farther afield, to lower-cost countries such as Vietnam or Indonesia. Already, higher labor costs are beginning to price some manufacturers out of more developed Chinese cities such as Shanghai and Suzhou. “There is a break point where people will say this is too expensive,” says Michael Barbalas, general manager at the Suzhou plant of Andrew Corp. (ANDW ), a Westchester (Ill.) maker of wireless networking gear. At his factory, he says, wages have been rising by 10% annually.
On a related topic, see “China’s choice: Baby boom or bust” from Asia Times:
Fixated on maintaining the country’s high-powered economic growth, Chinese policymakers have been soliciting opinions from economists about how to avoid future labor shortages by relaxing and even scrapping the rigid one-child policy.
But the effort has generated a debate over a 25-year-old family-planning policy that was once considered sacrosanct.