Hu Shuli: Reality Check for China’s Monetary Policy

Written by Hu Shuli, founder and managing editor of Caijing Magazine:

Various signals suggested China’s economy had returned to a stable track by the end of the second quarter, giving us an opportunity to reassess macroeconomic policy.

Data released by the National Bureau of Statistics showed that China’s GDP rose 7.1 percent in the first half of the year, and 7.9 percent in the second quarter alone. Apparently, China’s economy has bottomed out.

Arduous efforts contributed to this upward trend. External developments have had a much more serious impact on China’s economy recently than during the Asian Financial Crisis a decade ago. However, first half growth was only a bit below the level recorded in 1998. And although heavily dependant on exports, China may yet achieve its 2009 growth target of 8 percent, even while other major export countries report contractions.

Read also the the following articles on China’s Monetary Policy from Caijing Magazine:

Analysis: Mulling a Next Step for China’s Macro Policy
Policymakers: Keen Eyes Fixed on China’s Monetary Policy
Property Developers: Emerge from Doldrums
Stock Market: Beijing Policy and Running with the Bulls
Banks: Where Did that 7 Trillion Yuan Come From?

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